Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.003065 0.003299 0.003554 0.003856 0.004207 0.004607 0.005102
2024-12-15 0.002702 0.003009 0.003366 0.003822 0.004401 0.005132 0.006162
2024-12-22 0.002524 0.002888 0.003335 0.003943 0.004780 0.005955 0.007866
2024-12-29 0.002382 0.002783 0.003296 0.004032 0.005123 0.006813 0.010028
2025-01-05 0.002213 0.002621 0.003157 0.003954 0.005199 0.007283 0.011810
2025-01-12 0.002051 0.002451 0.002986 0.003803 0.005125 0.007469 0.013152
2025-01-19 0.001957 0.002363 0.002918 0.003789 0.005264 0.008079 0.016057
2025-01-26 0.001799 0.002176 0.002694 0.003512 0.004909 0.007617 0.015557
2025-02-02 0.001746 0.002131 0.002669 0.003541 0.005095 0.008336 0.019736
2025-02-09 0.001721 0.002122 0.002695 0.003655 0.005455 0.009599 0.029134
2025-02-16 0.001673 0.002078 0.002664 0.003668 0.005623 0.010478 0.040806
2025-02-23 0.001658 0.002079 0.002702 0.003802 0.006069 0.012418 0.088018
2025-03-02 0.001607 0.002027 0.002658 0.003796 0.006233 0.013708 0.230598
2025-03-09 0.001545 0.001957 0.002581 0.003723 0.006233 0.014454 1.404373
2025-03-16 0.001522 0.001944 0.002595 0.003821 0.006675 0.017577 NaN
2025-03-23 0.001496 0.001925 0.002598 0.003899 0.007093 0.021482 NaN
2025-03-30 0.001446 0.001866 0.002528 0.003823 0.007073 0.022843 NaN
2025-04-06 0.001387 0.001791 0.002429 0.003679 0.006831 0.022379 NaN
2025-04-13 0.001354 0.001756 0.002395 0.003666 0.006971 0.025243 NaN
2025-04-20 0.001282 0.001656 0.002246 0.003404 0.006330 0.020851 NaN
2025-04-27 0.001262 0.001637 0.002236 0.003431 0.006565 0.024422 NaN
2025-05-04 0.001255 0.001640 0.002263 0.003539 0.007083 0.033018 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001234 0.001618 0.002246 0.003551 0.007301 0.039979 NaN